Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.004002 0.004205 0.004412 0.004641 0.004887 0.005142 0.005429
2025-01-19 0.003524 0.003814 0.004124 0.004480 0.004880 0.005316 0.005831
2025-01-26 0.003323 0.003669 0.004050 0.004501 0.005025 0.005616 0.006340
2025-02-02 0.003234 0.003632 0.004080 0.004625 0.005274 0.006031 0.006989
2025-02-09 0.003063 0.003485 0.003969 0.004568 0.005299 0.006172 0.007308
2025-02-16 0.002944 0.003389 0.003907 0.004561 0.005375 0.006369 0.007698
2025-02-23 0.002830 0.003290 0.003834 0.004533 0.005418 0.006522 0.008032
2025-03-02 0.002765 0.003248 0.003826 0.004580 0.005554 0.006794 0.008532
2025-03-09 0.002668 0.003160 0.003755 0.004543 0.005576 0.006916 0.008833
2025-03-16 0.002577 0.003075 0.003685 0.004502 0.005589 0.007021 0.009113
2025-03-23 0.002478 0.002977 0.003593 0.004427 0.005551 0.007055 0.009291
2025-03-30 0.002390 0.002888 0.003510 0.004359 0.005518 0.007091 0.009470
2025-04-06 0.002337 0.002844 0.003484 0.004369 0.005595 0.007286 0.009900
2025-04-13 0.002221 0.002716 0.003344 0.004220 0.005445 0.007155 0.009835
2025-04-20 0.002180 0.002683 0.003329 0.004240 0.005531 0.007364 0.010297
2025-04-27 0.002177 0.002702 0.003382 0.004354 0.005754 0.007782 0.011110
2025-05-04 0.002113 0.002636 0.003318 0.004302 0.005735 0.007837 0.011347
2025-05-11 0.002070 0.002595 0.003287 0.004295 0.005780 0.007991 0.011753
2025-05-18 0.002021 0.002547 0.003244 0.004269 0.005796 0.008098 0.012085
2025-05-25 0.002000 0.002535 0.003250 0.004313 0.005916 0.008374 0.012721
2025-06-01 0.001953 0.002486 0.003204 0.004278 0.005916 0.008458 0.013028
2025-06-08 0.001907 0.002438 0.003157 0.004240 0.005908 0.008526 0.013310
2025-06-15 0.001853 0.002377 0.003090 0.004171 0.005849 0.008509 0.013434